Wednesday, June 22, 2011

What stock to buy? (2)

Wow! Everyone must have missed yesterday's tremendous rally which saw the STI surge close to 40 points albeit on thin volumes. I have been doing my sums and looking at the charts and assessing the global situation. My sums look a bit precarious, as I intend to go overseas for one more trip as well as get a big item for my hobby. The charts tell me that there is a higher possibility of downside (2,900 - 3,000) but as we have witnessed, sinking below 3,000 seems like a hard task to accomplish. And the global situation tells me that yes, the financial stimulus are ending and debt fears are rising, but overall economies look firm (less China)- any financial apocalypse should be priced in.

So the question is, if I believe what I have said earlier, that there will be short term weaknesses but by the year's end all will be well, which stock should I buy? As MusicWhiz had posted earlier, it has been a time for contemplation and step up research since the markets are offering stocks on sale. Unfortunately for me, I have been a bit tight travelling and busy and work. On one hand, i am spared the gut wrenching market plunges but on the other, I am not attuned to which stocks hold value.

Tentatively, I will look through the stocks that I have covered before before making my move. What about you? What stock will you buy this time?

4 comments:

  1. What stocks are you looking at?

    Pennies or blue chips?

    Jason

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  2. i will look at the holdings that I have. I cannot load up on Etika as it is forming disproportionate big a holding....

    i will be looking at pennies for sure... thats my style and also due to money limitations

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  3. hi,

    Do post your analysis and why you chose the counter. New people like me can learn.
    Thanks,

    Jason

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  4. Hi Jason,

    There is not really much analysis for the case of Etika. One, the overall market is weak, so it is a good time to accumulate. Secondly, Etika seems to have gotten over the margin compressions due to high food prices, but I am guessing this is partly due to the acquisition of the Vietnamese company.

    Overall, there are plenty of stocks you can buy but blue chips offer lesser upside. S-Chips are just playing the musical chairs of who is next to go.

    Privatisation candidates? That's a tough one to call because those that are likely to be taken private are those cash rich and cash generating ones - few and far between each passing day.

    I did on a separate note thought of looking at EDMI and SMB since they are trading at low PEs relative to their growth. But I know nothing about their switchboard business, whether their growth was one-off. So I missed that boat.

    I hope it helps

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